You Have to Win the Election to Get Your Way

I have been saying for months and months and months that there was no such thing as a fiscal cliff, that there was no way either party was going to let the tax rates go up for 98% of the population, and that there was no way they were actually going to really address the debt fiasco we have in this country. As it stands now, the tax rates are not going up for anyone but those making over $400,000 per year ($450,000 for married couples), and the estate tax, dividend tax, and AMT tax are all being Read more […]

A Final Word: Handicapping the Election

Some quick anecdotal thoughts on the election: 1. There are four new national polls that came out today: Gallup, Rasmussen, CNN, and Monmouth/Survey USA. Gallup and Rasmussen have Romney up 1 point, and Monmouth and CNN have it as a tie. The Monmouth poll outpolled Democrats nationally by +4. 2. The Pew and Marist polls of yesterday that showed Obama leading nationally were polling 39% Democrats and 32% Republicans. Yep. A SEVEN point differential. 3. In the Ohio polls today there is a tie Read more […]

Who’s Going to Win in November?

In trying to simplify the state of the race and move past the statistical dead-heat that the national polls show the race in, I have done a little more electoral map analysis today.  I have taken advantage of RealClearPolitics’ delightful “create your own map” tool.  I put North Carolina and Missouri safely in the Romney ledger, but put New Mexico and Michigan safely in the Obama ledger.  I am putting Minnesota in the Obama ledger too, but a Pawlenty-as-VP pick could change that.  The reality Read more […]