This HuffPo article states what I would love to be true:
For Obama and the Democrats who’ve stood behind Obamacare during four years of relentless attacks from Republicans – including a face-off that led to a 16-day government shutdown and a threat of U.S. default – failure of this magnitude would discredit a core premise of this presidency, that government can do big things to improve Americans’ lives.
It is a pleasant dream, but it is probably not really a possible outcome.
If people were open to evidence they would never have agreed to the “core premise” of the Obama presidency in the first place. Frederic Bastiat said that, “The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else.” As soon as any rational person hears that idea, he or she knows that it can’t work. There is no way to arrange for everyone to live at everyone’s expense so that everyone is better off.
Yet people obviously treat the state exactly the way that Bastiat described. Somehow, as Dave Ramsey put it recently, they simply insist to themselves, and to anyone who will listen, that “they don’t have to do math.”
In the case of Obamacare, insurance companies are required to offer things that cost money which they didn’t have to offer before. They are also required to accept as clients people who are already sick. This means that, instead of figuring risks and charging a low rate for a group of people who are healthy at the time they get insured, insurance companies will have to take people who they know will cost them money. It isn’t even insurance.
So, of course, the cost of insurance is going to go up dramatically. Everyone should know this. The cost may be hidden under federal subsidies, but the cost is still going to go up.
So no one should be surprised at the price tag on their insurance. No one should be shocked that they have to pay more.
The belief in Obama’s “premise” was never a reasoned position. It was always a religious belief. It is a commitment to always trust the government to use supernatural powers to work miracles. Math doesn’t matter. Obama can take five loaves and two fishes and somehow feed a great multitude. He can give us more stuff. More militarized police and a disarmed populace will mean we are more secure in a society with less crime. Taking off our shoes on orders from a uniform will make our air flights safer.
This is a religious faith. Government is the god of most Americans.
So a mere failure of a miracle to work is not going to be enough to provoke renunciations of the faith. The true believers are already saying it is the Republican’s fault. A thousand excuses will be used to evade reality.
I’m not saying it is impossible to get people to apostatize from their faith. But it is going to take more than a record of failure of any magnitude. We are going to have to frankly confront people by naming their religious blindness. We need to tell them to repent, turn to the true God, and stop bowing before this idol of Big Government.
It can’t deliver you.